Nate Silver, statistician extraordinaire, who first came to prominence with his mathematical system to evaluate MLB players and then with his 2008 presidential predictions, has thrown his hat and statistical analysis to predict Group C at the upcoming World Cup. He’s taken conventional wisdom and backed it up with stats and simulations (not the diving kind).
Personally I don’t think its too hard to project the final placings in this group but I do find the statistics interesting in that after all the simulations, Algeria still have a 1 in 4 chance of advancing. Basically no game is going to be easy and England and especially the US have to watch out for sneak counter attacks, park the bus mentality and tough physical play to deter them off their game(s).
As proven last night, you can have all the attacking prowess in the world but you need creativity and a plan B and C. Barcelona left it too late to change their plan and Mourinho from the get go, got his tactics right. Why Henry was never introduced I do not know.
All in all I think Silver gets his assessment of the teams and their chances are spot on. Thoughts?
Also – poor ol Messi is left alone in the elephant grass!