…and coach movement…
Freddy Adu headed to CSKA?
Carlos Bocanegra to Liverpool?
Of course, we’re kidding with these. I tried to pick to absolutely outlandish statements so Bleacher Report wouldn’t pick them up as fact.
Following the United States win and exposure of some of their players in the World Cup, comes a heightened level of gossip surrounding United States player (and coach) movement this summer.
If you’re a newspaper online who is experiencing the typical 15-20% standard drop in readership over the summer–dropping a little “American” love will get Google crawling your site, deposit your story in Google News and push it to all those soccer folks using Google reader. Ad impression issue solved.
Some US blogs use this strategy as well.
TSG is here to help you out on wading through the the Yanks’ transfer rumors, whether they make sense and how to decipher them.
First, here is the typical equation to look out for when assessing believability:
United States Player + New EPL team with budget OR EPL Team with history of employing Americans + Dodgy, Sensational Publication = Suspect Rumor
For example: DaMarcus Beasley + Fulham + The Sun = Highly Suspect (8 out of 10 on the highly questionable scale)
Levels below this?
Michael Bradley + Wigan (not a team that fits either description above) + The Guardian = Slightly Suspect (4 out of 10) ….hey this one might work.
There are exceptions, for example Landon Donovan back to Everton makes a whole lot of sense. But keeping that formula above in mind should give you a moment of pause.
Let’s quickly run over some rumors:
• Michael Bradley + EPL newcomer with money Blackpool + the Daily Mail
Why this does or doesn’t make sense?
Hard to see this one at all. The reason this claim is made is because Blackpool will have a larger chunk of television revenue to invest in their team with their promotion this year to the EPL….and that’s about the only thing that this rumor has going for it.
First, Charlie Adam, all of 26, is the starting central midfielder–and captain–for the Blackpool team. He’s a Scottish International who’s signed through 2012 for the team. While Bradley’s abilities exceed Adam’s, Blackpool would likely need to move Adam first before bringing in Bradley if they maintain their 4-3-3.
Hard to move the team captain who just saw the team through to the Premiership with his stellar play last season.
If you’re Blackpool, hard to bring in Bradley regardless. You’re looking at a player who is signed at Bo’ Munchen through the 2012 season and who’s value comes at a premium. So in essence, if you’re Blackpool management, you’re looking at a player that probably commands a $3M to $5M transfer premium and who likely wants to capitalize on his recent play and extend and increase his deal beyond that. (As far as I’ve looked I cannot find the terms of Bradley’s compensation–they are listed as undisclosed)
Let’s just say that Blackpool is no-shoe in to stay in the Premiership. Assuming Blackpool gets relegated after this campaign, now you have lost leverage on the Bradley asset and you’ll be forced to sell the following year with less revenue on hand.
Hull City did the smart thing with the loan-option-to-buy on Jozy Altidore.
Blackpool is likely looking for more of those loan situations in bringing in players this year–and that doesn’t help Bradley or Bo’Munchen.
Also, in Junior, you’re looking a player who likely wants to go to a higher level club than Blackpool. Bo’Munchen, his current club has more stature.
Oh and here are some of the other rumors that the Daily Mail recently published that they are looking to come true: Kaka to Chelsea, Ashley Cole to Real Madrid, Craig Bellamy to Tottenham. Um, maybe Bellamy, but looks like the Daily Mail is playing darts. The Daily Mail is praying on making a lay-up with Dzeko to Man City just to get one of them right.
(And the Daily Mail also had Brek Shea headed to Fulham last year…just saying.)
Rumor Rating: Highly Suspect
• Clint Dempsey + AC Milan + Sky Sports
Why this does or doesn’t make sense? TSG commented in this briefly a week ago.
In short, it somewhat does. Milan might have found joy last year with the relatively inexpensive free transfer of Oguchi Onyewu. Dempsey, at 27, is a forward at the height of his value. With recently departing manager Roy Hodgson now at Liverpool and unable to sign him, Dempsey might be wise to move than to put his value in the hands of a new manager that he needs to appease.
With Dempsey–a player who seemingly would thrive in Milan–Milan would have another American to trot out on their stateside tours and player who is opposite star Pato to change up the line-up.
Making this deal a little more plausible are reports out the suggest Ronaldhino–who plays the same position as Sir Deuce–is headed to Flamengo.
Of course, there is still the language barrier, Dempsey’s willingness to uproot his family and a host of other reasons that shred some of the credibility.
Sky Sports is a more authoritative source as well.
Rumor Rating: Decent
• Bob Bradley + Fulham + The Sun
Why this does or doesn’t make sense?
TSG has offered our opinion–just yesterday again–on this one ad nauseum, so we won’t go into detail again.
For my money, I think I’d split and plunk down a little on Mark Hughes or, another wildcard candidate, Gareth Southgate.
The Sun by the way is like Perez Hilton in a track suit.
(Watch this rumor come back to bite me…)
Rumor Rating: Somewhat to Highly Suspect
• Jay DeMerit + Blackpool (also Sheffield United, Leeds) + Goal.com/MLS Soccer
Why this does or doesn’t make sense.
In short, makes perfect sense here. DeMerit is a well-traveled, experienced and, for Blackpool, experienced in the Premiership due to Watford’s quick promotion and relegation just a few years ago. DeMerit is also a free transfer, no sticky up front fee.
At 30 and with recent maladies to worn away perhaps more high-profile suitors, DeMerit’s contract likely wouldn’t be an issue should Blackpool itself go down after the season. Plus, tongue-in-cheek, he can then pair with an “American” goalie in Paul Rachubka and discuss what might have been…
Rumor Rating: Plausible